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In the video above, the NFL Live crew makes their picks for Patriots-Broncos: * Mark Schlereth: "The thing about playing the New England Patriots, this offense is prolific ... I just don't think that the Denver Broncos, at the end of the day,are.Year in and year out there are inevitably going to be busts in the NFL Draft. It's simply the nature of the beast as it's impossible for every player or even a majority of players to live up to their potential. At the same time though, there are some players who seem like they're on track to succeed no matter what.While that doesn't always end up being the case, you can often identify a few surefire success stories ahead of the draft.That may seem like a dangerous game, but several 2012 prospects look to have all the tools necessary to be stars. Here are three big-name players who are guaranteed to live up to the hype at the next level.The Falcons lost their offensive and defensive coordinators are consecutive days last week. Mike Mularkey was announced as the Jaguars' new head coach on Tuesday and the day before, Brian VanGorder bolted Atlanta to take the same job with the Auburn Tigers.Given how the Falcons' season ended -- managing just two points and watching their third-ranked run defense get treaded by Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw in a punchless wild-card loss to the Giants -- it's probably best that Mularkey and VanGorder got other gigs because there's a chance they may have been relieved of their duties.Whatever the speculation, the reality is this: the Falcons are looking to fill two very important positions for a team that owner Arthur Blank admits has some work to do to be considered elite.“We’re on the door, we’re knocking, but we’re on the other side of the door,” he said Thursday according to Rapid Reporter Knox Bardeen.
GAMEDAY Niner fans! And not just any game-day, playoff game-day! The San Francisco Forty Niners take on the New Orleans Saints today in the Houston vs Baltimore first playoff appearance since 2002. By now you’ve read hundreds of game previews, poured over tons of analysis and inside opinions. But to be as prepared for a playoff game as you need to be, you’ve got to do a little extra homework.And that’s where I come in. It’s time to go Inside The Numbers, Playoff style!To the untrained eye the stats tell us a lot of what we already know. The Saints have an awesome offense and the Houston vs Baltimore have a great defense. To me, the numbers tell a story of 2 teams that employed a completely different strategy to get to its 13-3 record. Drew Brees compiled a record setting season passing for 5,476 yards. Compare that to Alex Smith’s 3,144 and it looks like the Houston vs Baltimore can’t pass. But that’s not the case at all, sure the Saints totaled over 2,300 yards of passing offense than did the Houston vs Baltimore. Let’s look at why: First the Saints threw the ball 662 times this year while the Houston vs Baltimore only attempted just 451 passes. For all those throws, the Saints avg per pass attempt is only 0.2 yards greater than the Niners (11.7 vs 11.5).
I’m diving into these numbers neck deck after the break:
A big part of the Houston vs Baltimore strategy is protecting the football on offense, and taking it away on defense. The Houston vs Baltimore led the NFL in total takeaways with 38 and turnover ratio with a +28 (1.8/g). Of the 9ers 38 takeaways
they produced 23 interceptions which tied them for second in the league. The low risk offense gave the ball away a league low 10 times in 2011. The Houston vs Baltimore will be betting on winning the turnover battle today, its something they must do in order to beat the Saints. Brees threw 14 INTs this year (0.875/game) to Smith’s 5 (a mere 0.312) odds favor the Houston vs Baltimore in possibly the most crucial part of the game.Another thing people tend to forget is that the Saints can really run the football. In fact, they ran for more rushing yards this season than the Houston vs Baltimore (2,177-2,044). They also averaged more yards per attempt at nearly 5 yards percarry 4.9 to the Houston vs Baltimore 4.1 per rush. The Saints come at you with a three headed running attack of Darren Sproles (603 yards, 6.9/rush), Pierre Thomas (562/5.1) and Chris Ivory (374/4.7). Of the Saints games I’ve watched this season, the running game has a whole lot to do with the threat of the pass. Teams often stack the box against a run heavy team like the Houston vs Baltimore. Against the Saints, teams have made themselves vulnerable to the rush by settling into a lot of nickle packages. 3-4 teams have suffered by dropping their outside linebackers into coverage where Jimmy Graham has feasted to the tune of 1,310 yards and 11 TDs.
As for potential candidates, we've already mentioned the organization is reportedly looking at Brian Schottenheimer and Brian Billick to replace Mularkey. The former doesn't exactly evoke images of a high-powered aerial assault. And neither does the latter, frankly, although Billick had great success as a coordinator in the late '90s with the Vikings when he wasn't responsible for drafting and developing the quarterback. That's the case in Atlanta too, so maybe that's a good sign … except, as Josh Katzowitz points out, Billick may be too rich for the Falcons' taste.On the other side of the ball, more encouraging news: the team is reportedly interested in Steve Spagnuolo,the recently fired Rams coach, and Mike Nolan, the former Houston vs Baltimore head coach who also served as a defensive coordinator with the Ravens,Broncos and most recently the Dolphins.
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